Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements
نویسندگان
چکیده
We investigate forward-looking commodity price volatility expectations (proxied by option-implied volatilities or IVols) around scheduled US Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports. show that corn and soybean IVols are significantly lower for several trading days after a report. The IVol response to release depends on agricultural market experts' disagreement sentiment before the USDA report, extent which information surprises market. Whereas generally positively related financial-market macroeconomic uncertainty (jointly captured index [VIX]), this comovement breaks down report days—with VIX moving in opposite directions.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Futures Markets
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['0270-7314', '1096-9934']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22283